NFL Fantasy Picks: Best Starts, Sits & Value Plays — 2026-07-02

WEEKLY DFS PICKS: WHO TO START, SIT, AND STEAL THIS WEEK

Lamar Jackson continues to be the engine driving Baltimore's explosive offense. Even in games where the Ravens face stout defenses, Jackson's dual-threat capability—he's averaging 287 passing yards and 87 rushing yards per game over his last five contests—makes him an absolute lock in tournament lineups. His salary premium is justified by floor and ceiling, especially against defenses ranked outside the top-ten in EPA against mobile quarterbacks.

CeeDee Lamb remains the WR1 you cannot fade. Dallas's wide receiver has cleared 8 targets in six consecutive games with two of those weeks yielding double-digit reception totals. His 22% target share gives him the highest floor among WR1s this week, and his chemistry with Dak Prescott inside the red zone means touchdown equity most players are pricing too cheaply.

Travis Kelce bounces back this week after a surprisingly quiet outing last Sunday. Kansas City's tight end is still generating 9.4 targets per game on the season, and his opportunity rate hasn't diminished despite the recent dud. Face a secondary vulnerable to slot coverage, and Kelce's ceiling game is firmly back on the menu. He's the safest TE investment on both sites.

Sit Jaylen Warren this week. Pittsburgh's backup back is losing significant snap share to Najee Harris, whose injury designation appears resolved. Warren's DFS appeal evaporated once Harris returned to 60% snap rates. Don't chase last week's points; the opportunity is gone.

Brandon Aiyuk is overpriced for San Francisco's divisional matchup against a cornerback group that specializes in shutting down WR2s. With Deebo Samuel still commanding targets in the slot, Aiyuk's volume is inconsistent. His salary hasn't adjusted for reduced opportunity—pass this week.

Target George Pickens at his current salary. Cleveland's emerging receiver is seeing 7+ targets weekly and recorded 89 yards last week against a top-five secondary. At $6,200 on DraftKings, he offers WR2 production at WR3 pricing.

Isiah Pacheco provides RB2 value at a flex salary. Kansas City's lead back is averaging 4.8 yards per carry with receiving upside. Tournament stacks built around Kansas City offenses get significantly cheaper with Pacheco slotted into flex rather than paying up for traditional RB1 options.

Fade Josh Allen this week despite elite talent. Buffalo faces a Baltimore secondary playing aggressive two-high coverages, forcing Allen into more difficult throws. His rushing volume has declined, cutting ceiling potential dramatically. Pivot toward Lamar in your GPP lineups while Allen gets overweighted due to name recognition.

Read all Fantasy Picks coverage on SportsPulse →